NOAA: Hurricane Beryl Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

This Atlantic hurricane season will not be nearly as active as last year’s according to forecasters

This Atlantic hurricane season will not be nearly as active as last year’s according to forecasters

In less than a day, Tropical Storm Beryl was upgraded to the first hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season and another system brewing near the Carolinas has a high chance of tropical development.

The newly formed tropical storm is now over 1,300 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands, moving west-northwest.

Hurricane Beryl lost some strength overnight but is still packing maximum-sustained winds of 75 miles per hour as it moves toward the Caribbean. The system is forecast to still be a hurricane as it approaches the Lesser Antilles.

The minimum central pressure estimated from earlier reconnaissance data is 1014 mb (29.95 inches). Tropical Depression Two was, however, expected to dissipate east of the Lesser Antilles over the weekend, the NHC said. These shearing winds should weaken this system as it is reaching the Lesser Antilles.

Regardless if it develops, this area of low pressure will track west-northwest, north and then northeast away from the USA coastline into the weekend.

"Beryl is a tiny tropical storm".

According to meteorologists, the maximum wind speed is 65 km/h.

Cooler sea surface temperatures and strong trade winds created across the Atlantic Basin by the Pacific warm-water phenomena known as El Niño inhibit the growth of storms. Even though it's not expected to become a threat to the USA mainland, the hurricane's future remains uncertain, as the forecast keeps changing. This system is forecast to move northward, then northeastward, away from the United States. The current track and forecast models show the storm gaining little strength and maintaining a westward course.

On Monday, Colorado State University cut its forecast for named storms to 11, from the 14 it predicted in May. So for the 5 days, the storm poses no threats to the First Coast.

Also in the Atlantic, a tropical disturbance east of the U.S. East Coast is also being monitored by the NHC.

Recommended News

We are pleased to provide this opportunity to share information, experiences and observations about what's in the news.
Some of the comments may be reprinted elsewhere in the site or in the newspaper.
Thank you for taking the time to offer your thoughts.